Belmont Stakes has plenty of storylines without a Triple Crown in play

Normally, the running of the Belmont Stakes without a chance at a Triple Crown winner makes the third leg of the series about as interesting as a television procedural — the Chicagos, FBIs or Law & Orders — in the last two minutes after the culprit has been identified and prosecuted.

But not this year. The 157th running of the Belmont Stakes has about as many plot lines as a season of "The White Lotus." It's easily the best race of the year, and, yes, that includes the Kentucky Derby.

You've got your sentimental favorite in Journalism, whose stretch drive in winning the Preakness Stakes could make almost anyone a fan of horse racing.

You've got your villain in Sovereignty, who kicked racing tradition in the teeth after winning the Kentucky Derby when his connections refused to enter him in the Preakness Stakes because of the short time frame — two weeks — between the first two legs of the Triple Crown. It killed any opportunity racing had to build a new fan base revolving around the Derby and a possible Triple Crown winner.

You've got your fresh-faced wannabe in Rodriguez, whose last race was a win in the Wood Memorial. He was scheduled to run in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, but a sore hoof forced him to withdraw from both races. His early speed and front-running ability likely means he'll be on the lead as the horses head down the backstretch. Add to that the fact that he is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Mike Smith, both Hall of Famers who know how to get a horse from gate to wire in winning form.

And finally, you've got a wiseguy (professional gamblers) horse in Baeza, whose talent far exceeds his early results. He finished a strong third in the Kentucky Derby and second in the Santa Anita Derby behind Journalism. He is also trying to find a place in history for his mom, Puca, who has produced Kentucky Derby winner Mage and last year's Belmont winner in Dornoch. If Baeza were to win, he would be the first horse who has a dam who has won three Classic races. That's a record.

And that's just half of the eight-horse field.

Whoever finishes first, the victory is likely to be remembered as having an asterisk next to it. The Belmont Stakes, considered the test of champions because of its normal 1 1/2-mile distance, is being run at the less interesting distance of 1 1/4 miles. The reason is the race has been moved from Long Island's Belmont Park to Saratoga Race Track in Saratoga Springs, a suburb of the New York state capital of Albany, because of a massive rebuild at Belmont Park.

The reason the race was shortened is because to have a 1 1/2-mile race at Saratoga, the horses would have to start on a turn, something the organizers didn't want to happen.

The starting positions add little clarity as to who might win. Sovereignty (post 2, 2-1 on morning line) should have no problem getting early running room, especially with Rodriguez on his immediate outside. Rodriguez (post 3, 6-1) and Crudo (post 5, 15-1) are expected to battle for the lead early. Crudo's last win was his last outing with a 7 1/4-length win in the Sir Barton Stakes at Pimlico.

Journalism will be breaking from post 7 at 8-5 morning line odds.

"He's been kind of the same horse since July of last summer," Michael McCarthy, trainer of Journalism, told NYRA publicity. "He does everything you ask a good horse to do — eats well, trains well, packs well. I thought the last six or seven weeks here, his energy has been the same throughout. Obviously, Saratoga is very good for horses. He seems reenergized up here. I'm looking forward to a wonderful renewal of the Belmont Stakes on Saturday."

If either Journalism or Sovereignty wins, they will be the first repeat winner of a Classic race since Justify in 2018, who won all three Triple Crown races. Since then, no horse has won more than one Classic race, making it a 21-race streak. Of course, Triple Crown races are only for 3-year-olds meaning trainers start every year fresh trying to find prospective winners.

Racing is in desperate need of stars and the chase for the Triple Crown is one way of getting them. It's why there was such consternation when trainer Bill Mott and owner Godolphin, decided to skip the Preakness Stakes.

"You never know until they actually do it in a race," said Michael Banahan, who heads Godolphin in the U.S. "He always gave us that indication that he'd like to go long. And we thought the Derby as well and then finished up, from the top of the stretch to the wire in very good fashion and galloped all the way through the wire.

"So, I'm with the Belmont this year at Saratoga. He just has to do the same distance again. So, I would anticipate that'll be fine for him. I suppose if it were a regular Belmont at Belmont Park, that'll be another question to answer going that far. It certainly looks like a mile-and-a-quarter was well [within] his wheelhouse in the Derby and anticipate that it shouldn't be any issue at Saratoga as well."

The horse that is poised to pull the upset is Baeza, who has only won one race, a maiden at Santa Anita. His second-place finish in the Santa Anita Derby would have normally been enough to get him in the Kentucky Derby. But Churchill Downs, in an obvious attack at West Coast races, lowered the point total because of a small field.

Trainer John Shirreffs did not want to bring the horse to Churchill Downs, hoping there were enough scratches to get him in the race. Shirreffs was overruled by the owners so he stood on the backside at Barn 41 while hoping for an entry to the world's most famous race. The reprieve, and entry, came when Rodriguez was scratched because of a sore hoof.

Baeza more than proved his entry into the Derby with a strong third-place finish.

"I think Baeza, week by week, he's developed a little bit more," Shirreffs said. "I see him, maybe, a little bit taller, a little 'stretchier' He seems to be holding his weight really well. And you can really get an image of him now is what he'll look like as a 4-year-old. So, you're starting to see him emerge."

The most likely scenario is the winner of the Belmont Stakes will come from the four most prominent horses. It's more than possible that the 21-race streak without a repeat winner will be over.

But they run the races to answer that question.