Hurricane center says medium chance for tropical depression in Atlantic

Richard Tribou, Orlando Sentinel on Sep 13, 2025

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ORLANDO, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center on Saturday continued to give a tropical wave in the Atlantic a medium chance it would develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

As of the NHC’s 8 a.m. tropical outlook, the wave was near the Cape Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic and producing limited showers and thunderstorms.

“Dry and stable air will likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter part of next week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said.

The NHC gave it a 50% chance to develop in the next seven days, up from 40% forecast Friday.

If it were to develop into a named storm, it could become Tropical Storm Gabrielle.

The climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season was on Sept. 10. but 60% of annual activity has historically happened after this date, the NHC stated.

So far the season has had only six named storms with the most recent, Tropical Storm Fernand, petering out by the end of August.

Only one of the six storms developed into a hurricane, Hurricane Erin, which grew into a massive Category 5 system with 160 mph winds, but remained in the Atlantic without making landfall.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in early August updated its season forecast to call for 13-18 named storms this year, of which five to nine would grow into hurricanes. Two to five of those would develop into major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.